Independent research deskEvidence before headlines
Capital Context Desk

Claim review / macroeconomics

Double-Dip Recession Risk: A Measurement Guide

A second contraction is possible only after a recovery begins, so the first task is to define both phases with consistent data.

Open the evidence guide
An original diagram showing a headline claim separated into data, timing, comparison, and uncertainty layers
Desk diagram 01 — separate the claim before judging it.
01 Define the measure02 Fix the time window03 Choose a valid comparison04 Report uncertainty

The briefing file

Read past the market headline.

Each guide converts a broad claim into a short list of facts, definitions, and tests that a reader can check.

Publication boundary

A new desk, not the former publisher.

This site does not reproduce old articles, staff identities, or branding. Some historically linked addresses now contain new explanatory guides on the same general subject so that readers receive useful and truthful context.

Read the full notice